FPL Captain Picks GW23 · 2025/26
GW23 Captain Picksthe one to trust
The pick · Safety
Thiago
"The quintessential safe choice for reliable returns."
The case
Welcome to our elite FPL captaincy briefing for Gameweek 23. This week demands sharp analysis as managers navigate a diverse fixture list with potential for both safe hauls and explosive differential returns. Our rigorous data-driven approach aims to arm you with the insights needed to make the optimal captaincy decision and climb those mini-league ranks.
Gameweek 23 presents a mixed bag of fixtures, with several teams enjoying favourable home matchups against lower-half opposition. This mid-season period often sees rotation considerations intensifying, particularly for teams still involved in multiple cup competitions or battling European qualification. Identifying players with both fixture advantage and guaranteed minutes is paramount to navigating potential pitfalls.
Thiago stands out as the standout safe captaincy option for Gameweek 23. His excellent form is matched by a prime home fixture against a Nottingham Forest side consistently leaky away from home. As Brentford's primary forward, he's central to their attacking output, ensuring a high likelihood of involvement in any goal-scoring opportunities. This matchup provides an ideal environment for him to deliver a significant FPL haul.
Nottingham Forest's defensive shape often gets stretched by direct forward runs, leaving gaps between their centre-backs and full-backs. Thiago's ability to time his runs and link up with wide players makes him an ideal candidate to capitalize on these spaces.
Compare the three
| Role | Player | Fixture | Own% | Risk | Ceiling | Best for |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top | NFO (H) | 36.5% | Low | High | Safety | |
| Alternative | AVL (H) | 23.7% | Medium | Medium | Balanced | |
| Differential | WOL (H) | 14.0% | High | High | Rank chasers |
Bruno G.: Bruno G.
Cherki: For those looking to climb the ranks, Cherki represents a high-upside differential pick.
The fork
Play it safe
Thiago
If you're protecting rank or seeking reliable points, Thiago (BRE) against Nottingham Forest is your strongest candidate, offering a high floor with significant upside.
Chase rank
Cherki
If you're chasing rank and need a bold move, Cherki (MCI) provides the explosive potential from Manchester City's attack against Wolves, despite the inherent rotation risk.
Avoid
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