Last refreshed
Ballard

DanielBallard

SUN Sunderland Defender
£4.9mPrice
14Points
2.4%Owned
Hamstring injury - 75% chance of playing
FPLai Verdict

Risk

Hamstring injury - 75% chance of playing makes minutes less secure, even if the price or fixture looks tempting.

Next Action

Check replacements and avoid captaining unless team news improves.

-19,695 net transfers this gameweek.

Should I buy Ballard?

Ballard (Defender, £4.9m) is the 42nd highest-scoring defender in FPL 2026/27 with 14 points and mixed fixtures ahead — form is a concern for current owners. Our algorithm rates this transfer as HOLD with 35% confidence.

HOLD
Confidence: 35% · Defender · £4.9m
1.0
Form
-19,695
Net Transfers
3.0
Avg FDR
2.8
Pts/Game
GWOpponentVenueFDR
GW6 Brighton Home Medium (3)
GW7 Bournemouth Away Medium (3)
GW8 Leeds Home Medium (3)
GW9 Coventry City Away Easy (2)
GW10 Chelsea Home Hard (4)
GW11 Aston Villa Away Medium (3)

Alternatives to monitor

Transfer recommendations factor in form trajectory, fixture swing across the next 6 matches, price change probability from net transfer volume, ownership trends, and expected minutes. Alternatives are filtered to the same position within ±£1.5m of Ballard's price and ranked by recent form.

Season stats

Ballard has accumulated 14 points from 450 minutes across 5 starts this season. At £4.9m, that delivers 2.9 points per million, below the defender average of 3.4.

14
Total Points
0
Goals
0
Assists
1
Clean Sheets
0
Bonus
450
Minutes
5
Starts
31
BPS Total

Value and price

£5.0m
Start Price
£4.9m
Current Price
£-0.1m
Price Change
2.9
Pts / £1m

Archive signals

16
Defender Avg Points
3.4
Defender Avg Pts/£m
-278,364
Net Transfers
16
ICT Index
0.3
xG
0.2
xA
0.5
xGI
35
Threat

Season totals are sourced from the FPL bootstrap-static API. Expected stats come from Premier League Opta feeds, ICT Index measures Influence, Creativity and Threat, and price changes reflect market movement since the start of the season. Team context: Sunderland.

Ballard (Defender, £4.9m) is the 42nd highest-scoring defender in FPL 2026/27 with 14 points and mixed fixtures ahead — form is a concern for current owners.

£4.9m
Price
14
Total Points
1.0
Form
2.4%
Ownership
2.8
Pts/Game
450
Minutes

Transfer Activity

+3,713
Transfers In (GW)
-23,408
Transfers Out (GW)

Performance

0
Goals
0
Assists
1
Clean Sheets
0
Bonus Points
2
Yellow Cards
0.31
xG

Upcoming Fixtures

GWOpponentDifficulty
GW6 BHABHA (H) Medium
GW7 BOUBOU (A) Medium
GW8 LEELEE (H) Medium
GW9 COVCOV (A) Easy
GW10 CHECHE (H) Hard
GW11 AVLAVL (A) Medium

Related

Data sourced from the official FPL API.

Analyst Notes

Sell signal: Form has dropped to 1.0 and 19,695 managers have transferred out this gameweek. A price drop may be imminent.

How We Calculate This

Our AI model analyses Ballard's recent form over the last 5 gameweeks, weighting expected goals (xG: 0.31), expected assists (xA: 0.16), and bonus point probability. Fixture difficulty is scored 1–5 based on opponent defensive strength using the official FPL difficulty rating. Transfer recommendations combine form trajectory, fixture swing over the next 6 gameweeks, price change probability based on net transfer volume, and ownership trends. All data is sourced from the official FPL API and refreshed every 3 hours.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Ballard worth buying in FPL?
Ballard is currently priced at £4.9m with a form rating of 1.0. He has scored 14 total points this season and is selected by 2.4% of managers. Consider his upcoming fixtures before investing.
What is Ballard's FPL price?
Ballard's current FPL price is £4.9m. He plays as a defender for Sunderland.
How many FPL points has Ballard scored?
Ballard has scored 14 FPL points this season across 450 minutes played. His form rating is 1.0 and he averages 2.8 points per game.
Is Ballard a good captain in FPL?
Ballard has 1.0 form and an avg fixture difficulty of 3.0. Consider higher-form alternatives as captain.
Best replacements for Ballard in FPL?
Top alternatives at a similar price: Tarkowski (£6.2m, form: 11.0), Bogle (£4.6m, form: 10.0), De Cuyper (£5.0m, form: 8.5).
What are Ballard's upcoming FPL fixtures?
Ballard's next fixtures: BHA (H), BOU (A), LEE (H), COV (A). Average difficulty: 3.0 out of 5.
What is Ballard's ownership percentage in FPL?
Ballard is currently owned by 2.4% of FPL managers. With under 10% ownership, he qualifies as a differential pick who could provide significant rank gains.
How has Ballard's FPL price changed this season?
Ballard started the season at £5.0m and is now priced at £4.9m, a fall of £0.1m. Price has been relatively stable.
Should I buy Ballard in FPL?
Our analysis gives Ballard a HOLD rating (35/100). Current form: 1.0, price: £4.9m, ownership: 2.4%.
Will Ballard rise in FPL price?
Ballard has net 19,695 transfers out, suggesting price could drop.
Who should I get instead of Ballard?
Top alternatives at similar price: Tarkowski (£6.2m, form: 11.0), Bogle (£4.6m, form: 10.0), De Cuyper (£5.0m, form: 8.5).
Is Ballard worth a transfer hit in FPL?
With only a 35% rating, Ballard is unlikely to recover the -4 cost quickly. Save your transfer or look at alternatives.
What is Ballard's expected minutes risk?
Ballard has played 450 minutes this season. Minutes are a concern — he may not be a guaranteed starter, which adds risk to buying him.
How many FPL points does Ballard have in 2026/27?
Ballard has 14 total points in the 2026/27 FPL season, with 0 goals, 0 assists, and 0 bonus points from 450 minutes.
Is Ballard good value in FPL?
At £4.9m, Ballard delivers 2.9 points per million, which is below the defender average of 3.4. There may be better value alternatives at this price point.
How much has Ballard's FPL price changed?
Ballard started the season at £5.0m and is now £4.9m — a fall of £0.1m.
What are Ballard's expected stats in FPL 2026/27?
Ballard's expected stats: 0.3 xG, 0.2 xA, 0.5 xGI. ICT Index: 16 (Influence 104, Creativity 24, Threat 35).

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