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Carvalho

FábioFreitas Gouveia Carvalho

BRE Brentford Midfielder
£5.0mPrice
6Points
0.0%Owned
FPLai Verdict

Watchlist

GBP 5.0m with 3.0 form, 0.0% ownership, and an average next-fixture difficulty of 3.0.

Next Action

Compare against alternatives before spending a transfer.

+476 net transfers this gameweek.

Should I buy Carvalho?

Carvalho (Midfielder, £5.0m) is the 119th highest-scoring midfielder in FPL 2026/27 with 6 points and mixed fixtures ahead. Our algorithm rates this transfer as HOLD with 40% confidence.

HOLD
Confidence: 40% · Midfielder · £5.0m
3.0
Form
+476
Net Transfers
3.2
Avg FDR
6.0
Pts/Game
GWOpponentVenueFDR
GW6 Aston Villa Away Medium (3)
GW7 Liverpool Home Hard (4)
GW8 Hull City Away Easy (2)
GW9 Nott'm Forest Home Medium (3)
GW10 Brighton Away Hard (4)
GW11 Everton Home Medium (3)

Alternatives to monitor

Transfer recommendations factor in form trajectory, fixture swing across the next 6 matches, price change probability from net transfer volume, ownership trends, and expected minutes. Alternatives are filtered to the same position within ±£1.5m of Carvalho's price and ranked by recent form.

Season stats

Carvalho has accumulated 6 points from 3 minutes across 0 starts this season. At £5.0m, that delivers 1.2 points per million, below the midfielder average of 2.9.

6
Total Points
1
Goals
0
Assists
0
Clean Sheets
0
Bonus
3
Minutes
0
Starts
23
BPS Total

Value and price

£5.0m
Start Price
£5.0m
Current Price
+£0.0m
Price Change
1.2
Pts / £1m

Archive signals

17
Midfielder Avg Points
2.9
Midfielder Avg Pts/£m
+496
Net Transfers
7
ICT Index
0.4
xG
0.0
xA
0.4
xGI
33
Threat

Season totals are sourced from the FPL bootstrap-static API. Expected stats come from Premier League Opta feeds, ICT Index measures Influence, Creativity and Threat, and price changes reflect market movement since the start of the season. Team context: Brentford.

Carvalho (Midfielder, £5.0m) is the 119th highest-scoring midfielder in FPL 2026/27 with 6 points and mixed fixtures ahead.

£5.0m
Price
6
Total Points
3.0
Form
0.0%
Ownership
6.0
Pts/Game
3
Minutes

Transfer Activity

+671
Transfers In (GW)
-195
Transfers Out (GW)

Performance

1
Goals
0
Assists
0
Clean Sheets
0
Bonus Points
0
Yellow Cards
0.43
xG

Upcoming Fixtures

GWOpponentDifficulty
GW6 AVLAVL (A) Medium
GW7 LIVLIV (H) Hard
GW8 HULHUL (A) Easy
GW9 NFONFO (H) Medium
GW10 BHABHA (A) Hard
GW11 EVEEVE (H) Medium

Related

Data sourced from the official FPL API.

Analyst Notes

Value gem: At just £5.0m, Carvalho averages 6.0 points per game — outstanding value that frees up budget elsewhere.

How We Calculate This

Our AI model analyses Carvalho's recent form over the last 5 gameweeks, weighting expected goals (xG: 0.43), expected assists (xA: 0.00), and bonus point probability. Fixture difficulty is scored 1–5 based on opponent defensive strength using the official FPL difficulty rating. Transfer recommendations combine form trajectory, fixture swing over the next 6 gameweeks, price change probability based on net transfer volume, and ownership trends. All data is sourced from the official FPL API and refreshed every 3 hours.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Carvalho worth buying in FPL?
Carvalho is currently priced at £5.0m with a form rating of 3.0. He has scored 6 total points this season and is selected by 0.0% of managers. Consider his upcoming fixtures before investing.
What is Carvalho's FPL price?
Carvalho's current FPL price is £5.0m. He plays as a midfielder for Brentford.
How many FPL points has Carvalho scored?
Carvalho has scored 6 FPL points this season across 3 minutes played. His form rating is 3.0 and he averages 6.0 points per game.
Is Carvalho a good captain in FPL?
Carvalho has 3.0 form and an avg fixture difficulty of 3.0. Consider higher-form alternatives as captain.
Best replacements for Carvalho in FPL?
Top alternatives at a similar price: Groß (£5.9m, form: 15.5), Schade (£6.2m, form: 12.0), Belloumi (£5.1m, form: 8.5).
What are Carvalho's upcoming FPL fixtures?
Carvalho's next fixtures: AVL (A), LIV (H), HUL (A), NFO (H). Average difficulty: 3.0 out of 5.
What is Carvalho's ownership percentage in FPL?
Carvalho is currently owned by 0.0% of FPL managers. With under 10% ownership, he qualifies as a differential pick who could provide significant rank gains.
How has Carvalho's FPL price changed this season?
Carvalho started the season at £5.0m and is now priced at £5.0m, a rise of £0.0m. Price has been relatively stable.
Should I buy Carvalho in FPL?
Our analysis gives Carvalho a HOLD rating (40/100). Current form: 3.0, price: £5.0m, ownership: 0.0%.
Will Carvalho rise in FPL price?
Carvalho has net 476 transfers in this gameweek, suggesting price could rise.
Who should I get instead of Carvalho?
Top alternatives at similar price: Groß (£5.9m, form: 15.5), Schade (£6.2m, form: 12.0), Belloumi (£5.1m, form: 8.5).
Is Carvalho worth a transfer hit in FPL?
At a 40% rating, Carvalho is a reasonable free transfer but probably not worth a -4 hit unless you have no other fires to fight.
What is Carvalho's expected minutes risk?
Carvalho has played 3 minutes this season. Minutes are a concern — he may not be a guaranteed starter, which adds risk to buying him.
How many FPL points does Carvalho have in 2026/27?
Carvalho has 6 total points in the 2026/27 FPL season, with 1 goals, 0 assists, and 0 bonus points from 3 minutes.
Is Carvalho good value in FPL?
At £5.0m, Carvalho delivers 1.2 points per million, which is below the midfielder average of 2.9. There may be better value alternatives at this price point.
How much has Carvalho's FPL price changed?
Carvalho started the season at £5.0m and is now £5.0m — a rise of £0.0m.
What are Carvalho's expected stats in FPL 2026/27?
Carvalho's expected stats: 0.4 xG, 0.0 xA, 0.4 xGI. ICT Index: 7 (Influence 33, Creativity 0, Threat 33).

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