Last refreshed 24 May 2026 09:09 UTC

Should I Buy Smith?

Data-driven buy/hold/sell analysis for FPL 2025/26.

Smith (Defender, £4.4m) is the 90th highest-scoring defender in FPL 2025/26 with 56 points and mixed fixtures ahead — an underowned differential worth considering. Our algorithm rates this transfer as HOLD with 55% confidence.

HOLD

Confidence: 55%

Bournemouth · Defender · £4.4m

Key Metrics

5.7

Current Form

Total Points

0.2%

Ownership

2.7

Pts/Game

+3,438

Net Transfers

3.0

Avg FDR (Next 6)

Upcoming Fixtures

GW	Opponent	Venue	FDR
GW38	Nott'm Forest	Away	Medium (3)

Alternatives

Similar-priced defenders to consider instead.

Player	Club	Price	Form	Points	Owned
Senesi	BOU	£5.2m	8.7	173	21.9%
Truffert	BOU	£4.8m	6.7	159	5.3%
De Cuyper	BHA	£4.3m	6.0	84	1.7%
Bijol	LEE	£3.9m	6.0	98	1.3%
Hill	BOU	£4.2m	5.7	107	7.3%

How We Calculate This

Transfer recommendations factor in form trajectory over the last 5 gameweeks, fixture swing across the next 6 matches (avg FDR: 3.0), price change probability based on net transfer volume (+3,438 this GW), and ownership trends among all managers. The buy score combines current form, points per 90 minutes, fixture difficulty, and transfer momentum into a 0–100 confidence rating. Alternatives are filtered to the same position within ±£1.5m of Smith's price and ranked by recent form. All data sourced from the official FPL API, refreshed every 3 hours.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I buy Smith in FPL?

Our analysis gives Smith a HOLD rating (55/100). Current form: 5.7, price: £4.4m, ownership: 0.2%.

Will Smith rise in FPL price?

Smith has net 3,438 transfers in this gameweek, suggesting price could rise.

Who should I get instead of Smith?

Top alternatives at similar price: Senesi (£5.2m, form: 8.7), Truffert (£4.8m, form: 6.7), De Cuyper (£4.3m, form: 6.0).

Is Smith worth a transfer hit in FPL?

At a 55% rating, Smith is a reasonable free transfer but probably not worth a -4 hit unless you have no other fires to fight.

Is Smith a good FPL differential?

Yes, at 0.2% ownership, Smith is a strong differential who could provide significant rank gains if he delivers.

What are Smith's upcoming fixtures?

Smith's next 6 fixtures have an average difficulty of 3.0 out of 5. A mixed fixture run — timing your transfer carefully matters.

What is Smith's expected minutes risk?

Smith has played 984 minutes this season. He plays most matches but may face occasional rotation.

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