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Should I Buy Pablo?

Data-driven buy/hold/sell analysis for FPL 2025/26.

Pablo (Forward, £5.4m) is the 46th highest-scoring forward in FPL 2025/26 with 25 points and easy fixtures ahead — form is a concern for current owners. Our algorithm rates this transfer as HOLD with 40% confidence.

Pablo
HOLD
Confidence: 40%
WHU West Ham · Forward · £5.4m

Key Metrics

1.5
Current Form
25
Total Points
0.0%
Ownership
1.9
Pts/Game
+198
Net Transfers
2.0
Avg FDR (Next 6)

Upcoming Fixtures

GWOpponentVenueFDR
GW38 Leeds Home Easy (2)

Alternatives

Similar-priced forwards to consider instead.

PlayerClubPriceFormPointsOwned
Calvert-LewinCalvert-Lewin LEELEE £5.8m 6.7 140 13.7%
OsulaOsula NEWNEW £5.5m 6.5 74 2.0%
AwoniyiAwoniyi NFONFO £5.2m 5.8 43 0.4%
Igor JesusIgor Jesus NFONFO £5.9m 5.5 112 2.4%
RicharlisonRicharlison TOTTOT £6.5m 5.5 117 7.9%

Related

How We Calculate This

Transfer recommendations factor in form trajectory over the last 5 gameweeks, fixture swing across the next 6 matches (avg FDR: 2.0), price change probability based on net transfer volume (+198 this GW), and ownership trends among all managers. The buy score combines current form, points per 90 minutes, fixture difficulty, and transfer momentum into a 0–100 confidence rating. Alternatives are filtered to the same position within ±£1.5m of Pablo's price and ranked by recent form. All data sourced from the official FPL API, refreshed every 3 hours.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I buy Pablo in FPL?
Our analysis gives Pablo a HOLD rating (40/100). Current form: 1.5, price: £5.4m, ownership: 0.0%.
Will Pablo rise in FPL price?
Pablo has net 198 transfers in this gameweek, suggesting price could rise.
Who should I get instead of Pablo?
Top alternatives at similar price: Calvert-Lewin (£5.8m, form: 6.7), Osula (£5.5m, form: 6.5), Awoniyi (£5.2m, form: 5.8).
Is Pablo worth a transfer hit in FPL?
At a 40% rating, Pablo is a reasonable free transfer but probably not worth a -4 hit unless you have no other fires to fight.
Is Pablo a good FPL differential?
Yes, at 0.0% ownership, Pablo is a strong differential who could provide significant rank gains if he delivers.
What are Pablo's upcoming fixtures?
Pablo's next 6 fixtures have an average difficulty of 2.0 out of 5. This is a very favourable run that supports buying.
What is Pablo's expected minutes risk?
Pablo has played 774 minutes this season. Minutes are a concern — he may not be a guaranteed starter, which adds risk to buying him.

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