Last refreshed 24 May 2026 09:09 UTC

Should I Buy Calafiori?

Data-driven buy/hold/sell analysis for FPL 2025/26.

Calafiori (Defender, £5.6m) is the 38th highest-scoring defender in FPL 2025/26 with 108 points and mixed fixtures ahead. Our algorithm rates this transfer as HOLD with 40% confidence.

HOLD

Confidence: 40%

Arsenal · Defender · £5.6m

Key Metrics

3.8

Current Form

108

Total Points

6.0%

Ownership

4.3

Pts/Game

+5,365

Net Transfers

3.0

Avg FDR (Next 6)

Upcoming Fixtures

GW	Opponent	Venue	FDR
GW38	Crystal Palace	Away	Medium (3)

Alternatives

Similar-priced defenders to consider instead.

Player	Club	Price	Form	Points	Owned
Senesi	BOU	£5.2m	8.7	173	21.9%
Truffert	BOU	£4.8m	6.7	159	5.3%
Saliba	ARS	£6.3m	6.5	137	17.2%
De Cuyper	BHA	£4.3m	6.0	84	1.7%
Smith	BOU	£4.4m	5.7	56	0.2%

How We Calculate This

Transfer recommendations factor in form trajectory over the last 5 gameweeks, fixture swing across the next 6 matches (avg FDR: 3.0), price change probability based on net transfer volume (+5,365 this GW), and ownership trends among all managers. The buy score combines current form, points per 90 minutes, fixture difficulty, and transfer momentum into a 0–100 confidence rating. Alternatives are filtered to the same position within ±£1.5m of Calafiori's price and ranked by recent form. All data sourced from the official FPL API, refreshed every 3 hours.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I buy Calafiori in FPL?

Our analysis gives Calafiori a HOLD rating (40/100). Current form: 3.8, price: £5.6m, ownership: 6.0%.

Will Calafiori rise in FPL price?

Calafiori has net 5,365 transfers in this gameweek, suggesting price could rise.

Who should I get instead of Calafiori?

Top alternatives at similar price: Senesi (£5.2m, form: 8.7), Truffert (£4.8m, form: 6.7), Saliba (£6.3m, form: 6.5).

Is Calafiori worth a transfer hit in FPL?

At a 40% rating, Calafiori is a reasonable free transfer but probably not worth a -4 hit unless you have no other fires to fight.

Is Calafiori a good FPL differential?

Yes, at 6.0% ownership, Calafiori is a strong differential who could provide significant rank gains if he delivers.

What are Calafiori's upcoming fixtures?

Calafiori's next 6 fixtures have an average difficulty of 3.0 out of 5. A mixed fixture run — timing your transfer carefully matters.

What is Calafiori's expected minutes risk?

Calafiori has played 1652 minutes this season. He is a regular starter with minimal rotation risk.

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